Forecasted evolution of the annual consumption of natural gas

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Description

This graph shows GRTgaz’ forecasts for annual natural gas consumption broken down by segment according to its reference scenario.

Analysis

As environmental policies governing buildings are increasingly demanding, the consumption by residential-service should drop over the coming years. However, the progressive elimination of direct electrical heating (by convector) could cause a future rise in demand for natural gas as a substitute.

Changes in demand for combined cycle plants gas, whose consumption is increasing since the end of 2015, is still uncertain. The high scenario corresponds to the building of new power plants in 2021. On the contrary, the low scenario shows the stagnation of installed capacity.

 

 

Source: GRTgaz (2017)